\u4f5c\u8005: \u5218\u6021\u00a0 \u6765\u6e90: \u5357\u98ce\u7a97<\/p>\n
\u4ece\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u5168\u9762\u64a4\u519b\u5230\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u81ea\u7f1a\u624b\u811a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u8fd1\u4e4e\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5bf9\u5927\u9646\u4e49\u52a1\u957f\u5c3e\uff08Long Tail\uff09\u7684\u5207\u5272\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8c03\u6574\u4e0e\u6743\u52bf\u8870\u843d\u4e0d\u80fd\u7b80\u5355\u5212\u7b49\u53f7\uff0c\u5b83\u53cd\u6620\u7684\u662f\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u8ba4\u77e5\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ece\u201c\u5e1d\u56fd\u5f0f\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u201d\u6025\u5267\u540e\u9000\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4ecd\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6743\u52bf\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u52a8\u6447\u4ee5\u53ca\u56e0\u4e4b\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u5206\u88c2\u5c06\u662f\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u672a\u6765\u4e24\u5e74\u7684\u808c\u80a4\u4e4b\u75be\u3002<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
\u201c\u5e1d\u56fd\u5f0f\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u201d\uff1a\u5f53\u4e49\u52a1\u6210\u4e3a\u8d1f\u62c5<\/strong><\/p>\n 1899\u5e74\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0b\u9662\u6000\u7591\u6d77\u9646\u519b\u65b0\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u9884\u7b97\u6709\u76f8\u5f53\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u88ab\u6d6a\u8d39\u4e86\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u540e\u8005\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u63d0\u4f9b\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u6d77\u5916\u9886\u571f\u548c\u76df\u56fd\u4f5c\u51fa\u8bf4\u660e\u3002\u6d77\u519b\u90e8\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u6210\u6587\u6761\u7ea6\u548c\u53e3\u5934\u534f\u8bae\u540e\uff0c\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u957f\u5ea6\u60ca\u4eba\u7684\u6e05\u5355\uff1a\u82f1\u56fd\u6709\u4e49\u52a1\u4fdd\u536b\u745e\u5178\u548c\u632a\u5a01\uff0c\u4fdd\u536b\u5965\u65af\u66fc\u5e1d\u56fd\u7684\u4e9a\u6d32\u9886\u571f\uff0c\u4fdd\u536b\u8461\u8404\u7259\u7684\u6d77\u5916\u9886\u5730\uff0c\u4fdd\u536b\u5168\u90e8\u6216\u90e8\u5206\u666e\u9c81\u58eb\u3001\u5e0c\u814a\u3001\u585e\u5c14\u7ef4\u4e9a\u3001\u6469\u5c14\u8fbe\u7ef4\u4e9a\u3001\u74e6\u62c9\u51e0\u4e9a\u751a\u81f3\u5362\u68ee\u5821\u9886\u571f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u5728\u9884\u7b97\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u3002\u4ec5\u4ec5\u4e24\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6d77\u519b\u60c5\u62a5\u7f72\u5224\u65ad\uff1a\u7531\u4e8e\u6cd5\u4fc4\u5728\u5730\u4e2d\u6d77\u7684\u8230\u961f\u4e4b\u548c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d85\u8fc7\u82f1\u56fd\uff0c\u7687\u5bb6\u6d77\u519b\u82e5\u60f3\u786e\u4fdd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4ea4\u901a\u7ebf\uff0c\u5c31\u65e0\u529b\u963b\u6b62\u4fc4\u56fd\u63a7\u5236\u9ed1\u6d77\u3002\u53c8\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e24\u5e74\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u88ab\u8feb\u4ece\u897f\u5370\u5ea6\u7fa4\u5c9b\u3001\u767e\u6155\u5927\u3001\u514b\u91cc\u7279\u5c9b\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u64a4\u51fa\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u9a7b\u519b\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u5728\u57c3\u53ca\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u5175\u529b\u3002\u505a\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u5b9a\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\uff0c\u4f26\u6566\u6253\u7834\u957f\u4e45\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u201c\u5149\u8363\u5b64\u7acb\u201d\u3001\u4e0e\u6cd5\u56fd\u7f14\u7ed3\u534f\u7ea6\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u96c6\u4e2d\u8d44\u6e90\u5e94\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5927\u9646\u4e0a\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u79cd\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u8f6c\u53d8\uff0c\u5728\u6218\u7565\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u8c03\u63a7\u8870\u843d\u201d\uff08Management of Decline\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u6307\u7684\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u9738\u6743\u56fd\u5728\u76f8\u5bf9\u5b9e\u529b\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0b\u964d\u65f6\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u5207\u5272\u975e\u6838\u5fc3\u5229\u76ca\u3001\u96c6\u4e2d\u8d44\u6e90\u4e8e\u5bf9\u9738\u6743\u7ef4\u6301\u6700\u5177\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u9886\u57df\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u5bf9\u6574\u4e2a\u4f53\u7cfb\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7a0d\u900a\u4f46\u4f9d\u7136\u5177\u6709\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u529b\u3002\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5317\u975e\u3001\u5df4\u5c14\u5e72\u3001\u897f\u5370\u5ea6\u7fa4\u5c9b\u4e43\u81f3\u4e2d\u4e9a\u5c5e\u4e8e\u201c\u957f\u5c3e\u201d\uff0c\u6b27\u9646\u5747\u52bf\u4e0e\u6d77\u4e0a\u7edf\u6cbb\u6743\u5219\u662f\u57fa\u7840\uff0c\u5272\u9664\u957f\u5c3e\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5bf9\u4e0d\u5217\u98a0\u7684\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f18\u52bf\u5f62\u6210\u98a0\u8986\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u6210\u672c\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n \u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u540a\u8be1\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u9887\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\uff1a\u5c3d\u7ba1\u201c\u4e0d\u5217\u98a0\u6cbb\u4e0b\u7684\u548c\u5e73\u201d\uff08Pax Britannica\uff09\u57281815\u5e74\u5c31\u6210\u4e3a\u5b9a\u5c40\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u9738\u6743\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u4ee5\u201c\u975e\u6b63\u5f0f\u5e1d\u56fd\u201d\u7684\u5f62\u6001\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u3002\u76f4\u52301870\u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u628a\u6b27\u6d32\u4f53\u5236\u6269\u6563\u5230\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u65b0\u5e1d\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u6d6a\u6f6e\u65e5\u76ca\u666e\u904d\u5316\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u624d\u52a0\u5165\u4e86\u8fd9\u6ce2\u72c2\u98d9\uff0c\u4e14\u6536\u83b7\u9887\u4e30\uff1a\u52301899\u5e74\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u4e0d\u5217\u98a0\u7684\u6cd5\u5b9a\u9886\u571f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86425\u4e07\u5e73\u65b9\u82f1\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u52a0\u4e866600\u4e07\u3002\u4f46\u6070\u6070\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u4ee5\u91cf\u5316\u7684\u8fdb\u8d26\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u538b\u57ae\u9a86\u9a7c\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6839\u7a3b\u8349\u2014\u2014\u201c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u82f1\u56fd\u9886\u571f\u8fb9\u754c\u5904\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u8150\u8d25\u800c\u597d\u6218\u7684\u5934\u9886\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u4e86\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4eba\u56e0\u6b64\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u52a8\u6b66\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u7edf\u6cbb\u8303\u56f4\u7684\u52a0\u589e\uff0c\u7ee7\u800c\u53c8\u4f1a\u548c\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u5934\u9886\u53d1\u751f\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u6269\u5f20\u8fc7\u7a0b\u91cd\u6f14\u4e00\u904d\u3002\u201d \u6839\u636e\u80af\u5c3c\u601d\u2022\u535a\u5c14\u4e01\uff08Kenneth Boulding\uff09\u521b\u9020\u7684\u672f\u8bed\u201c\u529b\u91cf\u635f\u5931\u68af\u5ea6\u201d\uff08Loss of Strength Gradient\uff09\uff0c\u8981\u7f13\u89e3\u56e0\u7a7a\u95f4\u52a0\u589e\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u529b\u9012\u51cf\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5e1d\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u65b9\u9762\u652f\u4ed8\u5448\u51e0\u4f55\u7ea7\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff1b\u5018\u82e5\u8fd9\u79cd\u7a7a\u95f4\u81a8\u80c0\u6ca1\u6709\u6700\u7ec8\u754c\u9650\uff0c\u6d77\u91cf\u7684\u5927\u9646\u4e49\u52a1\u8fdf\u65e9\u4f1a\u538b\u57ae\u8d22\u653f\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4fdd\u7f57\u2022\u80af\u5c3c\u8fea\uff08Paul M. Kennedy\uff09\u5728\u300a\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u5174\u8870\u300b\u4e2d\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u201c\u5e1d\u56fd\u5f0f\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u201d\uff08Imperial Overstretch\uff09\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4e0d\u5217\u98a0\u5e1d\u56fd\u76db\u6781\u800c\u8870\u7684\u4e3b\u56e0\u3002<\/p>\n \u4e0e\u9f0e\u76db\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u82f1\u56fd\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u76f4\u662f1945\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u9738\u6743\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u652f\u67f1\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5730\u7406\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5148\u9a71\u9ea6\u91d1\u5fb7\u548c\u65af\u76ae\u514b\u66fc\u65e9\u572820\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u5c31\u5df2\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u5927\u9646\u5f3a\u56fd\u7684\u7269\u8d28\u4f18\u52bf\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f31\u5316\u4e86\u6d77\u4e0a\u529b\u91cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5927\u6218\u7565\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u5916\u56f4\u6d77\u6d0b\u5f3a\u56fd\u4e0d\u518d\u4eab\u6709\u5e72\u9884\u65f6\u95f4\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4f59\u88d5\u3002\u5018\u82e5\u6d77\u6d0b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u60f3\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u7206\u53d1\u4e4b\u521d\u5c31\u88ab\u5b64\u7acb\uff0c\u5b83\u5c31\u4e0d\u80fd\u628a\u9694\u5cb8\u89c2\u671b\u5f53\u4f5c\u5e38\u6001\uff0c\u800c\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u5e73\u65f6\u628a\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u5b58\u5728\u524d\u51fa\u5230\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u3002\u51b7\u6218\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u201c\u904f\u5236\u6218\u7565\u201d\uff08The Strategy of Containment\uff09\u5c31\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u4f53\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n \u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u81f3\u5c11\u5403\u8fc7\u4e24\u6b21\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u7684\u4e8f\uff1a1950\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u5171\u4ea7\u4e3b\u4e49\u591a\u7c73\u8bfa\u9aa8\u724c\u6548\u5e94\u201d\uff08The Domino Theory on the Spreading of the Communism\uff09\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u4f30\u8ba1\u8fc7\u9ad8\uff0c\u628a\u6709\u91cd\u70b9\u3001\u6709\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u904f\u5236\u6269\u5927\u4e3a\u4e0d\u8ba1\u6210\u672c\u3001\u56db\u9762\u5f00\u82b1\u7684\u51fa\u624b\uff0c\u7ec8\u4e8e\u62db\u6765\u8d8a\u5357\u8d25\u5c40\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u4eca\u5929\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5168\u7403\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\uff08Rebalancing\uff09\uff0c\u5219\u662f\u5728\u4e3a21\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u8fc7\u5ea6\u81ea\u4fe1\u3001\u5728\u5927\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u8d38\u7136\u6269\u5f20\u4e49\u52a1\u7684\u540e\u679c\u4e70\u5355\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u5728\u6743\u52bf\u57fa\u503c\u5360\u7edd\u5bf9\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ba1\u6210\u672c\u3001\u4e0d\u5206\u8f69\u8f7e\u5730\u6269\u5f20\u5927\u9646\u4e49\u52a1\u4f9d\u7136\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u707e\u96be\u6027\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u5f62\u5728\u7f3a\u5c11\u6210\u672c\u5206\u62c5\u8005\u65f6\u5c24\u5176\u7a81\u51fa\u3002\u800c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u7531\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u8ff7\u4fe1\u81ea\u8eab\u6743\u52bf\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u5176\u6e90\u4e8e\u4eba\u6027\uff0c\u6545\u96be\u4ee5\u6839\u9664\u3002<\/p>\n \u81ea\u5229\u4e0e\u6050\u60e7\uff1a\u6218\u7565\u6536\u7f29\u7684\u540e\u9057\u75c7<\/strong><\/p>\n \u5982\u679c\u8bf4\u8fc7\u5ea6\u4f38\u5f20\u4e49\u52a1\u9996\u5148\u662f\u7531\u5fc3\u7406\u4f5c\u7528\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u9738\u6743\u56fd\u6218\u7565\u6536\u7f29\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u5f71\u54cd\u540c\u6837\u4e0d\u53ef\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u5e94\u5f53\u4ece\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e38\u5e38\u62b1\u6028\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u7ba1\u5f97\u592a\u5bbd\u3001\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u4e2d\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8868\u73b0\u673a\u4f1a\u7684\u76df\u56fd\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u7a81\u7136\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u8235\u624b\u548c\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u6210\u672c\u627f\u62c5\u8005\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e00\u9762\u8f6c\u800c\u8c34\u8d23\u8001\u9738\u4e3b\u201c\u4e0d\u8d1f\u8d23\u4efb\u201d\u3001\u628a\u70eb\u624b\u5c71\u828b\u7529\u7ed9\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u9762\u5219\u8981\u5c1d\u8bd5\u6311\u8d77\u62c5\u5b50\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5404\u56fd\u57fa\u4e8e\u81ea\u5229\uff08Self-profit\uff09\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u65b9\u6848\u4f1a\u6bd4\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e26\u6709\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u56fd\u522b\u6216\u96c6\u56e2\u8272\u5f69\uff0c\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5176\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u4e5f\u4f1a\u66f4\u7a81\u51fa\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u9738\u6743\u56fd\u672c\u8eab\u5bf9\u6218\u7565\u6536\u7f29\u9020\u6210\u7684\u4fe1\u8a89\u4e0b\u964d\u4e5f\u611f\u5230\u6050\u60e7\uff08Fear\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u62c5\u5fc3\u53cb\u597d\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u4e0d\u590d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u66f4\u62c5\u5fc3\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u6311\u6218\u8005\u4f1a\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u673a\u5168\u9762\u8fdb\u903c\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u5728\u6700\u521d\u7684\u6536\u7f29\u540e\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7a81\u7136\u8f6c\u5411\u5f3a\u786c\u3002<\/p>\n \u8fd9\u79cd\u6df7\u6742\u7740\u79c1\u6b32\u3001\u6050\u60e7\u548c\u6000\u7591\u7684\u590d\u6742\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u4f0a\u6717\u6838\u95ee\u9898\u8c08\u5224\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u7edd\u4f73\u5f69\u6392\u3002\u5bf9\u534e\u76db\u987f\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u65e2\u7136\u4ee5\u4e9a\u592a\u5730\u533a\u4e3a\u91cd\u5fc3\u7684\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u6218\u7565\u5df2\u8fd0\u4f5c\u81f3\u4e2d\u6bb5\uff0c\u5207\u5272\u4e2d\u4e1c\u4e49\u52a1\u51e0\u4e4e\u6210\u4e3a\u5fc5\u7136\u3002\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u613f\u4f7f\u64a4\u79bb\u6210\u4e3a\u6e83\u9000\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u4f9d\u7136\u5e0c\u671b\u7559\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b2\u7a81\u7cfb\u6570\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6743\u52bf\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5fc5\u987b\u7ed3\u675f\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u5b64\u7acb\uff0c\u7528\u5f00\u653e\u77f3\u6cb9\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u53d6\u6d88\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u88c1\u6362\u53d6\u5fb7\u9ed1\u5170\u7ec8\u6b62\u6838\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u4f0a\u6717\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8086\u65e0\u5fcc\u60ee\u5730\u6e17\u5165\u9ece\u51e1\u7279\u5730\u533a\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5df4\u4ee5\u95ee\u9898\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9020\u6210\u4e2d\u4e1c\u4e16\u754c\u957f\u671f\u5bf9\u7acb\u7684\u6e0a\u85ae\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u5f97\u5230\u7ebe\u89e3\u3002\u4f46\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u4f20\u7edf\u76df\u56fd\u81ea\u6709\u5176\u7b97\u76d8\u2014\u2014\u900a\u5c3c\u6d3e\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u6c99\u7279\u5b64\u72ec\u800c\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u5b83\u90a3\u8870\u8001\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u5c42\u6700\u6015\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ece\u963f\u66fc\u6e7e\u5230\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u6c99\u6f20\u7684\u65b0\u6ce2\u65af\u5e1d\u56fd\uff1b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u88c1\u548c\u5c01\u9501\u4f0a\u6717\u5bf9\u5229\u96c5\u5f97\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u613f\u770b\u5230\u548c\u89e3\uff0c\u66f4\u62c5\u5fc3\u88ab\u534e\u76db\u987f\u629b\u5f03\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u4eba\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u81ea\u4eca\u5e74\u6625\u5929\u8d77\u5c31\u53cd\u590d\u62b1\u6028\u7f8e\u56fd\u6ca1\u80fd\u63a7\u5236\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u5df4\u52d2\u65af\u5766\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4e0d\u6b62\u4e00\u6b21\u6d41\u9732\u51fa\u8981\u7528\u6b66\u529b\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u89e3\u51b3\u4f0a\u6717\u6838\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4f01\u56fe\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u9891\u9891\u9732\u8138\u7684\u6cd5\u56fd\u7b49\u6b27\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u663e\u7136\u8fd8\u5728\u7ec3\u4e60\u6210\u4e3a\u89c4\u5219\u5236\u8ba2\u8005\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u6b27\u76df\u5728\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u548c\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u65e0\u6240\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u66b4\u9732\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u81f4\u547d\u7f3a\u9677\uff1a\u6b27\u76df\u4e0d\u613f\u627f\u62c5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u81f3\u591a\u4e50\u4e8e\u505a\u51fa\u201c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5c40\u9762\u201d\u7684\u59ff\u6001\u800c\u5df2\u3002<\/p>\n \u4e2d\u65e5\u95ee\u9898\u5219\u662f\u53c8\u4e00\u5c40\u96be\u68cb\u3002\u4e00\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e00\u4f4d\u66fe\u7ecf\u7684\u534e\u5e9c\u667a\u56ca\u8c08\u53ca\u8fc7\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u897f\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u5e95\u7ebf\uff1a\u9f13\u52b1\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u53d1\u6325\u79ef\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u675c\u7edd\u4efb\u4f55\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\u6216\u201c\u7279\u6b8a\u5229\u76ca\u5e26\u201d\u51fa\u73b0 \u3002\u7136\u5219\u7f8e\u56fd\u867d\u5df2\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ef4\u6301\u957f\u671f\u7684\u653f\u6cbb-\u519b\u4e8b\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5730\u7406\u4e0a\u6bd5\u7adf\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u533a\u57df\u5916\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u51fa\u4e8e\u6210\u672c\u8fd8\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u9996\u5148\u5fc5\u987b\u7acb\u8db3\u4e8e\u548c\u76df\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u3002\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5468\u8fb9\u5404\u56fd\u591a\u4e3a\u5730\u533a\u5f3a\u56fd\uff0c\u548c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u8bc9\u6c42\u53ca\u5229\u76ca\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0a\u90fd\u6709\u8f83\u5927\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u538b\u529b\u4e5f\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u8f83\u5c11\u88ab\u52a8\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5e0c\u56fe\u8ffd\u6c42\u81ea\u8eab\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u6700\u5927\u5316\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u9020\u6210\u7c7b\u4f3c1970\u5e74\u4ee3\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u95f4\u7684\u5fae\u5999\u5173\u7cfb\u2014\u2014\u5f7c\u65f6\uff0c\u897f\u5fb7\u7b49\u56fd\u5229\u7528\u8eab\u5904\u5bf9\u6297\u82cf\u8054\u7b2c\u4e00\u7ebf\u7684\u5730\u5229\u5750\u5730\u8d77\u4ef7\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u519b\u4e8b\u63f4\u52a9\u548c\u6838\u4fdd\u62a4\u65b9\u9762\u63d0\u4f9b\u4fbf\u5229\uff1b\u7136\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u53c8\u62c5\u5fc3\u7f8e\u82cf\u59a5\u534f\u3001\u5c06\u897f\u6b27\u4e22\u7ed9\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u6781\u529b\u5938\u5927\u82cf\u8054\u5371\u9669\u7684\u8feb\u5207\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u529b\u56fe\u8bf1\u4f7f\u7f8e\u65b9\u627f\u8bfa\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u7f8e\u82cf\u518d\u65e0\u673a\u4f1a\u548c\u89e3\uff0c\u897f\u6b27\u5219\u53ef\u6c38\u4fdd\u5176\u91cd\u8981\u6027 \u3002<\/p>\n \u65e5\u672c\u5728\u4e1c\u6d77\u4e4b\u9ad8\u8c03\uff0c\u591a\u5c11\u51fa\u4e8e\u76f8\u4eff\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff1a\u9c7c\u9493\u5c9b\u4e89\u7aef\u5e76\u4e0d\u6d89\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u4f46\u534e\u76db\u987f\u9700\u8981\u505a\u51fa\u59ff\u6001\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u5b83\u4ecd\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u610f\u613f\u7ef4\u6301\u5bf9\u76df\u56fd\u7684\u5b89\u4fdd\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u82e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u7eb5\u5bb9\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u4e1c\u4eac\u3001\u9996\u5c14\u4e43\u81f3\u9a6c\u5c3c\u62c9\u81ea\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a\u5b83\u4eec\u6210\u529f\u5730\u7ed1\u67b6\u4e86\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5f80\u540e\u5373\u4f7f\u8d8a\u754c\u884c\u4e8b\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u51b2\u7a81\u4e5f\u53ea\u4f1a\u5728\u7f8e\u4e2d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7206\u53d1\uff1b\u82e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u6001\u5ea6\u51b7\u6de1\u6216\u8f83\u4e3a\u514b\u5236\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u6cbb\u5bb6\u4e5f\u53ef\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5927\u505a\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ee5\u201c\u7f8e\u65e5\u5b89\u4fdd\u540d\u5b58\u5b9e\u4ea1\u201d\u4e3a\u540d\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5feb\u9632\u52a1\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u4fee\u5baa\u8fdb\u7a0b\u3002<\/p>\n \u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6700\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u72b6\u51b5\u662f\u505a\u5e03\u70ed\u6d25\u65af\u57fa\uff08Zbigniew Brzezinski\uff09\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u5730\u533a\u5e73\u8861\u8005\u201d\uff08Regional Balancer\uff09\uff0c\u201c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u901a\u8fc7\u65a1\u65cb\u51b2\u7a81\u6765\u907f\u514d\u5730\u533a\u4e3b\u5bfc\u6743\u7684\u4e89\u593a\uff0c\u5e76\u62b5\u6d88\u6f5c\u5728\u7ade\u4e89\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\u201d \uff1a\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u9f13\u52b1\u66f4\u591a\u591a\u8fb9\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u4f46\u591a\u8fb9\u6846\u67b6\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u542f\u52a8\u9636\u6bb5\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u7f8e\u56fd\u5145\u5f53\u540e\u76fe\u3002\u6545\u800c\u5728\u76f8\u5f53\u4e00\u4e2a\u65f6\u671f\u5185\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e9a\u6d32\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u5377\u5165\u7a0b\u5ea6\u53ea\u4f1a\u66f4\u6df1\uff0c\u8fd9\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u53c8\u884d\u751f\u51fa\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u2014\u2014\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u53cd\u9988\u3002<\/p>\n \u8427\u5899\u4e4b\u5185\uff1a\u5bf9\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u955c\u50cf<\/strong><\/p>\n \u548c\u901a\u5e38\u7684\u5370\u8c61\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u5373\u65f6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fd8\u662f\u5267\u70c8\u6027\u90fd\u8981\u8d85\u8fc7\u90a3\u4e9b\u534a\u6c11\u4e3b\u6216\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u8ddd\u79bb2014\u5e74\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e2d\u671f\u9009\u4e3e\u8fd8\u5269\u4e0d\u5230\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u4f9d\u65e7\u88ab\u8bdf\u75c5\u4e3a\u8bf4\u5927\u8bdd\u3001\u529e\u5c0f\u4e8b\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u6781\u7aef\u6d3e\uff08The Tea Party\uff09\u5374\u572810\u6708\u521d\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u6446\u95f9\u5267\u4e2d\u5ba3\u793a\u4e86\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u82e5\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u672a\u80fd\u8d62\u5f97\u4e2d\u9009\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u8ddb\u9e2d\u201d\uff08Lame Duck\uff09\u7684\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u5728\u4efb\u671f\u6700\u540e\u4e24\u5e74\u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u53d7\u5230\u6765\u81ea\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u7684\u6b65\u9aa4\u53ca\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5c06\u968f\u4e4b\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u66f4\u3002<\/p>\n \u505c\u6446\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u4e00\u661f\u671f\uff0c\u4e0e\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4fdd\u5b88\u6d3e\u9887\u6709\u6e0a\u6e90\u7684\u6218\u7565\u60c5\u62a5\u516c\u53f8\u201c\u6218\u7565\u9884\u6d4b\u201d\uff08Stratfor\uff09\u5728\u5176\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u9898\u4e3a\u201c\u56fd\u7236\u773c\u4e2d\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u201d\uff08U.S. Foreign Policy from the Founders\u2019 Perspective\uff09\u7684\u957f\u6587\uff0c\u4ece\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u7aa5\u89c1\u67d0\u4e9b\u98ce\u5411\u3002\u8be5\u6587\u5bf9\u5ba3\u79f0\u6258\u9a6c\u65af\u2022\u6770\u5f17\u900a\uff08Thomas Jefferson\uff09\u9996\u521b\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b64\u7acb\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08American Isolationism\uff09\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u89c2\u70b9\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u6279\u9a73\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff1a\u6770\u5f17\u900a\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u65e9\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e43\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d32\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\uff0c\u5b83\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u6c38\u8fdc\u5916\u4e8e\u65e7\u5927\u9646\u7684\u7eb7\u4e89\u3002\u5f53\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u51fa\u73b0\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5c01\u9501\u5927\u6d0b\u6216\u635f\u5bb3\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5fc5\u987b\u8fce\u96be\u800c\u4e0a\u3001\u4e3b\u52a8\u51fa\u51fb\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6770\u5f17\u900a\u9f13\u5439\u7684\u6210\u672c\u63a7\u5236\u539f\u5219\u4ecd\u5e94\u5f97\u5230\u5c0a\u91cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u533a\u5206\u5f53\u4e0b\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u8f7b\u91cd\u7f13\u6025\uff0c\u628a\u8d44\u6e90\u6295\u5165\u5230\u6700\u5177\u8feb\u5207\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u5411 \u3002<\/p>\n \u4e0a\u8ff0\u89c2\u70b9\u6d41\u9732\u51fa\u4e00\u9879\u610f\u5473\u6df1\u957f\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a\u628a\u5b64\u7acb\u4e3b\u4e49\u89c6\u4e3a\u5171\u548c\u515a\u5929\u7136\u503e\u5411\u7684\u4f20\u7edf\u89c2\u5ff5\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u65f6\uff0c\u9a74\u8c61\u4e24\u515a\u5728\u4fdd\u6301\u5927\u9646\u5b58\u5728\u3001\u53cd\u5bf9\u79bb\u5cb8\u5236\u8861\uff08Offshore Balancing\uff09\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u770b\u6cd5\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u8005\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7684\u201c\u518d\u5e73\u8861\u201d\u534e\u800c\u4e0d\u5b9e\uff08Hollow\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u672a\u80fd\u4ee5\u5207\u5b9e\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u627f\u8bfa\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u76df\u56fd\u91cd\u7533\u7f8e\u56fd\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\uff0c\u5728\u7ed9\u4e2d\u56fd\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7ea2\u7ebf\uff08Red Line\uff09\u65b9\u9762\u8868\u6001\u4e5f\u4e0d\u591f\u76f4\u63a5\u3002\u6bd4\u8d77\u672c\u5c4a\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u72b9\u7591\u4e0d\u5b9a\u3001\u5f80\u5f80\u5728\u95ee\u9898\u51fa\u73b0\u540e\u624d\u8bbe\u5b9a\u6807\u51c6\u6216\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u5171\u548c\u515a\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\u8981\u660e\u4e86\u7684\u591a\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u540e\u9000\u6216\u8ba9\u6b65\uff0c\u4f46\u5e95\u7ebf\u5fc5\u987b\u4e8b\u5148\u4eae\u51fa\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u518d\u65e0\u8ba8\u4ef7\u8fd8\u4ef7\u4f59\u5730\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8def\u7ebf\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u7cfb\u6570\u660e\u663e\u5347\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a01\u671b\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4f1a\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u52a0\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n \u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6b67\u4e4b\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u51f8\u663e\u300210\u6708\u521d\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u6446\uff08Government Shutdown\uff09\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u4e00\u5ea6\u53d6\u6d88\u4e86\u5305\u62ecAPEC\u9996\u8111\u5cf0\u4f1a\u5728\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u56fd\u9645\u6d3b\u52a8\u5b89\u6392\uff0c\u4ee5\u96c6\u4e2d\u7cbe\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u5185\u90e8\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5f7c\u65f6\u4e9a\u6d32\u5404\u56fd\u5373\u6709\u6000\u7591\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\u2014\u2014\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6b67\u5df2\u5448\u56fe\u7a77\u5315\u89c1\u4e4b\u52bf\u3001\u8336\u515a\u4e0d\u60dc\u727a\u7272\u5168\u5c40\u6765\u6253\u51fb\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7a76\u7adf\u80fd\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u4e0a\u4e0b\u591a\u5c11\u529f\u592b\uff1f\u5728\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u7684\u9021\u5de1\u4e0d\u524d\uff0c\u5bf9\u671d\u9c9c\u548c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u66a7\u6627\uff0c\u4e43\u81f3\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u8fd1\u671f\u4e2d\u65e5\u4e89\u7aef\u7684\u5f92\u52b3\u558a\u8bdd\uff0c\u6298\u5c04\u51fa\u7684\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7126\u8651\u800c\u53c8\u75b2\u60eb\u7684\u4efb\u4e8b\u8005\u5f62\u8c61\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u771f\u7684\u8981\u5f85\u4e2d\u9009\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6218\u7565\u8c03\u63a7\u7684\u539f\u5219\u6027\u7eb2\u8981\u624d\u80fd\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff1b\u7136\u800c\u5f7c\u65f6\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e5f\u5c06\u8fdb\u5165\u4efb\u671f\u6700\u540e\u7684\u201c\u770b\u5b88\u201d\uff08Caretaker\uff09\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u529b\u4e0d\u4ece\u5fc3\u77e3\u3002<\/p>\n \u56de\u5230\u767e\u5e74\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u4ece\u53cd\u601d\u6218\u7565\u4e49\u52a1\u5230\u6253\u7834\u5b64\u7acb\u82b1\u53bb5\u5e74\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u53c8\u82b1\u4e8610\u5e74\u59cb\u7ec7\u5c31\u9488\u5bf9\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u4f53\u7cfb\uff1b\u7f8e\u56fd\u8981\u5728\u907f\u514d\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e0b\u5b8c\u6210\u6218\u7565\u6536\u7f29\u548c\u518d\u5e03\u5c40\uff0c\u96be\u5ea6\u53ea\u4f1a\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u7528\u65f6\u4e5f\u96be\u514d\u66f4\u957f\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u957f\u671f\u8c0b\u5212\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u5b9a\u65f6\u6362\u5c4a\u76f8\u78b0\u649e\uff0c\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u6027\u548c\u66f2\u6298\u6027\u3002\u552f\u4e00\u53ef\u4ee5\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u5bb6\u72ec\u5927\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u540e\u7ef4\u591a\u5229\u4e9a\u65f6\u4ee3\u201d\uff08Post-Victorian Era\uff09\u6b63\u5728\u5b55\u80b2\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u4f5c\u8005: \u5218\u6021\u00a0 \u6765\u6e90: \u5357\u98ce\u7a97 \u4ece\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u3001\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u5168\u9762\u64a4\u519b\u5230\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u81ea\u7f1a\u624b\u811a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u8fd1\u4e4e\u6fc0\u8fdb\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5bf9 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[15,6],"tags":[3782,2129,2039,13324],"views":510,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42496"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=42496"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42496\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43725,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42496\/revisions\/43725"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=42496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=42496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=42496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}