{"id":48675,"date":"2025-02-20T17:24:55","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T09:24:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/?p=48675"},"modified":"2025-02-20T17:24:55","modified_gmt":"2025-02-20T09:24:55","slug":"%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%a6%e8%a7%a3%e9%87%8a%ef%bc%9a%e4%b8%ba%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e8%b6%8a%e6%97%a0%e7%9f%a5%e8%b6%8a%e8%87%aa%e4%bf%a1%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/?p=48675","title":{"rendered":"\u79d1\u5b66\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8d8a\u65e0\u77e5\u8d8a\u81ea\u4fe1\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"meta_content\" class=\"rich_media_meta_list\"><span id=\"profileBt\" class=\"rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_nickname\">\u6765\u6e90: \u5403\u679c\u8bfb\u4e66<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div id=\"js_content\" class=\"rich_media_content js_underline_content 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Wheeler\u7684\u9752\u5e74\u5927\u6447\u5927\u6446\u5730\u62a2\u52ab\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bbe\u897f\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u3002\u5f53\u4ed6\u88ab\u6355\u540e\uff0c\u770b\u7740\u76d1\u63a7\u5f55\u50cf\u7a81\u7136\u96be\u4ee5\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5730\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u53ef\u6211\u8138\u4e0a\u662f\u62b9\u4e86\u67e0\u6aac\u6c41\u7684\u554a\uff01\u201d<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u539f\u6765\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u66fe\u544a\u8bc9\u4ed6\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u628a\u67e0\u6aac\u6c41\u6d82\u5728\u8138\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u9690\u8eab\u3002\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u6df1\u4fe1\u4e0d\u7591\u3002<\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u79cd\u8111\u5b50\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u6765\u8bf4\u7b80\u76f4\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8bae\uff0c\u4f46\u8bf7\u522b\u9a82\u4ed6\u201c\u50bb\u53c9\u201d\uff0c\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u5f88\u59d4\u5c48\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8fd8\u4f1a\u7406\u76f4\u6c14\u58ee\u5730\u53cd\u9a73\u4f60\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e2a\u7b11\u8bdd\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e2a\u771f\u5b9e\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u4e5f\u5e76\u975e\u6781\u7aef\u5c11\u6570\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u65e0\u5904\u4e0d\u5728\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>1999\u5e74\uff0c\u4e24\u4f4d\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5bb6Dunning\u548cKruger\u5bf9\u6b64\u73b0\u8c61\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u505a\u8fc7\u56db\u4e2a\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u9707\u60ca\u5730\u53d1\u73b0\uff1a\u5728\u5e7d\u9ed8\u611f\u3001\u6587\u5b57\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u903b\u8f91\u80fd\u529b\u4e0a\u6700\u6b20\u7f3a\u7684\u90a3\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u603b\u662f\u9ad8\u4f30\u81ea\u5df1\uff1a\u5f53\u4ed6\u4eec\u5b9e\u9645\u5f97\u5206\u53ea\u670912%\u65f6\uff0c\u5374\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5f97\u5206\u572860%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff01<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u4ed6\u4eec\u628a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u73b0\u8c61\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a\u201c\u8fbe\u514b\u6548\u5e94\u201d\uff08\u4e5f\u53eb\u9093\u5b81-\u514b\u9c81\u683c\u6548\u5e94\uff09\u2014\u2014<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u00a0 <img src=\"https:\/\/img0.baidu.com\/it\/u=1590405514,2150758951&amp;fm=253&amp;fmt=auto&amp;app=138&amp;f=JPEG?w=541&amp;h=500\" \/>\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8ba4\u77e5\u504f\u5dee\u73b0\u8c61\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u662f\u975e\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4eba\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u201c\u6b20\u8003\u8651\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u201d\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5f97\u51fa\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u8fa8\u522b\u9519\u8bef\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u80fd\u529b\u6b20\u7f3a\u8005\u4eec\uff0c\u6c89\u6d78\u5728\u81ea\u6211\u8425\u9020\u7684\u865a\u5e7b\u4f18\u52bf\u4e4b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e38\u5e38\u9ad8\u4f30\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5374\u53c8\u65e0\u6cd5\u5ba2\u89c2\u8bc4\u4ef7\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u7b80\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c<strong>\u8d8a\u662f\u611a\u8822\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u8d8a\u81ea\u4ee5\u4e3a\u806a\u660e\u2014\u2014\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u6492\u8c0e\u6216\u901e\u5f3a\uff0c\u662f\u771f\u7684\u6253\u5fc3\u5e95\u91cc\u8fd9\u4e48\u89c9\u5f97\uff01<\/strong><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u4e00\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u8fd8\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5f53\u5e74\u7684<strong>\u201c\u641e\u7b11\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u201d<\/strong>\u3002\u522b\u8bef\u4f1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5956\u662f\u5f88\u6b63\u7ecf\u7684\uff01\u8bc4\u59d4\u4e2d\u6709\u4e9b\u8fd8\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5c14\u5956\u5f97\u4e3b\uff0c\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u9009\u51fa\u90a3\u4e9b\u201c\u4e4d\u770b\u4e4b\u4e0b\u4ee4\u4eba\u53d1\u7b11\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u53d1\u4eba\u6df1\u7701\u201d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u5176\u5b9e\u7ec6\u601d\u6781\u6050\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u8bb8\u90fd\u5728\u9ad8\u4f30\u81ea\u5df1\u8fd8\u4e0d\u81ea\u77e5\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><img src=\"https:\/\/img2.baidu.com\/it\/u=342073854,1517684537&amp;fm=253&amp;fmt=auto&amp;app=120&amp;f=JPEG?w=608&amp;h=342\" \/> \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/section>\n<section>\u8fd9\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u5728\u8bf4\u65e0\u77e5\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u80fd\u529b\u4e2d\u7b49\u7684\u4eba\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u4ea7\u751f\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u9ad8\u4f30\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e24\u4e2a\u7ef4\u5ea6\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u4fbf\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u201c\u5f97\u5bf8\u8fdb\u5c3a\u201d\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><strong>\u258d<\/strong><strong>\u5192\u5145\u8005\u75c7\u5019\u7fa4<\/strong><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u201c\u5409\u7c73\u9e21\u6bdb\u79c0\u201d\u66fe\u7ecf\u5728\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e00\u4e2a\u97f3\u4e50\u8282\u73b0\u573a\u505a\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u6076\u4f5c\u5267\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u8bb0\u8005\u968f\u673a\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u5973\u5b69\u95ee\uff1a<\/section>\n<section>\u201c\u4f60\u4eec\u89c9\u5f97Doctor Shlomo\u4e50\u961f\u600e\u4e48\u6837\uff1f\u201d<\/section>\n<section>\u201c\u662f\u6211\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u4e50\u961f\uff01\u201d\u201c\u6ca1\u9519\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7279\u522b\u71e5\uff01\u201d<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e50\u961f\u540d\u662f\u8bb0\u8005\u7f16\u51fa\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u53d6\u540d\u81ea\u4e00\u90e8\u767e\u8001\u6c47\u6b4c\u5267\u2014\u2014\u2014\u5176\u5b9e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e50\u961f\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section>\u201c\u53bb\u53c2\u52a0\u97f3\u4e50\u8282\u7684\u4eba\u90fd\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5b89\u6392\u800c\u9a84\u50b2\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u5176\u5b9e\u5e76\u4e0d\u771f\u6b63\u4e86\u89e3\u65b0\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002\u201d<\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><\/section>\n<section><img src=\"https:\/\/i03piccdn.sogoucdn.com\/3e8db825d6134a39\" 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of 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