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src=\"https:\/\/img1.baidu.com\/it\/u=3418015626,2371848827&amp;fm=253&amp;fmt=auto&amp;app=138&amp;f=JPEG?w=684&amp;h=500\" 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triumphalism)\uff1a\u867d\u7136\u51b3\u5b9a\u6218\u4e89\u80dc\u8d1f\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u5355\u5c31\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u6709\u65e0\u662f\u5f71\u54cd\u6218\u4e89\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u653f\u4f53\u66f4\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u8d62\u5f97\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u4e0d\u7b49\u4e8e\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u603b\u662f\u6218\u65e0\u4e0d\u80dc\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8be5\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u4eba\u7269\u662f\u4e24\u4f4d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b66\u8005\uff1a\u4e39\u00b7\u83b1\u7279\u5c14(Dan Reiter)\u548c\u963f\u5170\u00b7\u65af\u5854\u59c6( Allan Stam)\u3002\u4ed6\u4fe9\u5408\u5199\u4e86\u4e00\u672c\u4e66\uff0c\u53eb\u300a\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u300b\uff0c\u4e8e2002\u5e74\u7531\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u51fa\u7248\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7528\u5f88\u591a\u6570\u636e\u8bc1\u660e\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8d62\u5f97\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\uff1a\u57281816-1985\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4f24\u4ea1\u6570\u5728\u4e00\u5343\u4eba\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4e24\u56fd\u95f4\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f53\u6218\u4e89\u662f\u7531\u672c\u65b9\u53d1\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d62\u5f97\u4e8693%\uff0c\u800c\u201c\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u201d\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ea\u8d62\u5f97\u4e8658-60%\uff1b\u5f53\u6218\u4e89\u662f\u7531\u654c\u65b9\u53d1\u52a8\u65f6\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e5f\u8d62\u5f97\u4e8660%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u201c\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u201d\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ea\u8d62\u5f9734-40%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u4f55\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u66f4\u50cf\u662f\u6218\u4e89\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u201c\u5b88\u62a4\u795e\u201d\uff1f\u8be5\u4e66\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u5982\u4e0b\u4e3b\u8981\u7406\u7531\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u4f53\u4e0b\uff0c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u80fd\u5426\u957f\u671f\u6267\u653f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u51b3\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u53d1\u52a8\u6216\u4ecb\u5165\u6218\u4e89\u65f6\u4f1a\u66f4\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6218\u4e8b\u4e0d\u987a\u6216\u5931\u8d25\u53ef\u80fd\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u635f\u5931\u5f88\u591a\u9009\u7968\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u56e0\u800c\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u53ea\u6253\u83b7\u80dc\u628a\u63e1\u5927\u7684\u4ed7\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u80fd\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u4fdd\u8bc1\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u201c\u80dc\u7387\u201d\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u4f53\u4e0b\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u8fa9\u8bba\u66f4\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u8fd9\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u542c\u5230\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u610f\u89c1\uff0c\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u519b\u961f\u5efa\u8bbe\u548c\u6218\u4e89\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u5408\u7406\u6027\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u653f\u4f53\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u63d0\u9ad8\u5b98\u5175\u7684\u6218\u6597\u529b\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e3b\u4e49\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u5f18\u626c\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5b98\u5175\u4e3b\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u521b\u9020\u6027\u7684\u53d1\u6325\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u8bba\u5e76\u4e0d\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u4e66\u662f\u7528\u91cf\u5316\u5206\u6790\u548c\u4e0d\u5c11\u6570\u636e\u5e93\u6765\u52a0\u4ee5\u8bc1\u660e\u3002<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u8c01\u7ad9\u5728\u201c\u5f00\u653e\u201d\u519b\u961f\u7684\u9886\u5956\u53f0\u4e0a\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e2d\uff0c\u201c\u6c11\u4e3b\u81f4\u80dc\u8bba\u201d\u4e5f\u672a\u5f97\u5230\u5e7f\u6cdb\u8ba4\u540c\u3002\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u83b1\u7279\u5c14\u548c\u65af\u5854\u59c6\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u548c\u7406\u8bba\u903b\u8f91\u90fd\u6709\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u53ea\u7b80\u5355\u591a\u8c08\u4e00\u70b9\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u4e0b\u7684\u519b\u961f\u662f\u5426\u5fc5\u7136\u6709\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u4e3b\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u521b\u9020\u6027\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\u6709\u66f4\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u5fc3\u667a\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u672a\u5fc5\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\uff0c\u6309\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b66\u8005\u8fc8\u514b\u5c14\u00b7\u5fb7\u65bd(Michael 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