{"id":61701,"date":"2025-12-02T19:33:20","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T11:33:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/?p=61701"},"modified":"2025-12-02T19:33:20","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T11:33:20","slug":"%e5%86%b7%e6%88%98%e7%9a%84%e5%8c%95%e9%a6%96%ef%bc%9a%e5%af%b9%e8%8b%8f%e8%81%94%e7%a7%91%e6%8a%80%e8%be%93%e6%b6%b2%e7%ae%a1%e7%9a%84%e8%bf%bd%e8%b8%aa%e3%80%81%e6%89%93%e5%87%bb%e4%b8%8e%e5%88%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.danran1967.com\/?p=61701","title":{"rendered":"\u51b7\u6218\u7684\u5315\u9996\uff1a\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\u7684\u8ffd\u8e2a\u3001\u6253\u51fb\u4e0e\u5207\u65ad"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u8005: \u738b\u9676\u9676<\/p>\n

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1982\u5e746\u6708\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u81f4\u4fe1\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5b66\u534f\u4f1aAAU\uff0c\u6d0b\u6d0b\u5f97\u610f\u5730\u8981\u6c42\u4ed6\u4eec\u914d\u5408\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u9650\u5236\u653f\u7b56<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

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1981\u5e742\u6708\uff0c\u5f53\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u63a5\u624b\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u8fd9\u4e2a\u51b7\u6218\u6838\u5fc3\u673a\u6784\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u4ee5\u4ed6\u4e8c\u6218\u671f\u95f4\u5728\u6218\u7565\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40OSS\u7684\u6b8b\u9177\u6218\u4e89\u60c5\u62a5\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u79d1\u6280\u7814\u53d1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u60c5\u62a5\u91cd\u89c6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5dee\u7684\u3002\u516b\u5341\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u7f8e\u56fd\u60c5\u62a5\u673a\u6784\u80fd\u591f\u552f\u4e00\u660e\u786e\u7684\u8baf\u606f\u5c31\u662f\uff0c\u57281980\u5e74\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u5de5\u4e1a\u6280\u672f\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u652f\u5e9e\u5927\u9488\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u56e2\u961f\uff0c\u5343\u65b9\u767e\u8ba1\u83b7\u53d6\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u8bbe\u6cd5\u8d2d\u4e70\u6210\u54c1\u9006\u5411\u5de5\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ece\u4e8b\u6280\u672f\u6587\u732e\u7ffb\u8bd1\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u4eba\u5458\u5c31\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e8610\u4e07\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u79cd\u8baf\u606f\u662f\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u591f\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u76df\u53cb\u7f8e\u56fd\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u8ba9\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6267\u884c\u8463\u4e8b\u4ec0\u6cf0\u592b\u54c8\u5c14\u5e15\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u201c\u60c5\u62a5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u2026\u2026\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u6b63\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u624b\u6bb5\u83b7\u53d6\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7ec4\u5efa\u4e86\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u961f\u4f0d\uff0c\u6536\u96c6\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f01\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u518d\u5343\u65b9\u767e\u8ba1\u5730\u83b7\u5f97\u6280\u672f\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u7ed9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u4e2d\u8282\u7701\u81f3\u5c11\u6570\u767e\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff081980\u5e74\u7f8e\u5143\uff09[ \u6ce8\uff1aPeter Schweizer\u300a Victory: The Reagan Administration’s Secret Strategy that Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union\u300b ]\u201d<\/p>\n

\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7684\u524d\u4efb\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u663e\u7136\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u201c\u4ece\u897f\u65b9\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4e43\u662f\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u751f\u547d\u8d56\u4ee5\u4e3a\u7cfb\u4e0b\u53bb\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\u201d\uff0c\u201c\u5fc5\u987b\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u5730\u9650\u5236\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8ba4\u8bc6\u6210\u4e3a\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u5f85\u897f\u65b9\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u4ea4\u6d41\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u539f\u5219\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82cf\u8054\u5165\u4fb5\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u540e\uff0c\u5361\u7279\u653f\u5e9c\u66fe\u7ecf\u8ba9\u7279\u7eb3\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u9650\u5236\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u963b\u6b62\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u6280\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u6d41\u52a8\u3002\u4f46\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8ba1\u5212\u4e0d\u6ee1\u610f\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u79d1\u6280\u90e8\u95e8\u8bc4\u5ba1\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8ba1\u5212\u8981\u4e48\u6d89\u53ca\u5185\u5bb9\u592a\u5bbd\u6cdb\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u91cd\u70b9\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6f5c\u5728\u6f0f\u6d1e\u592a\u591a\uff0c\u65e2\u6ca1\u6709\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5212\u5206\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u5bf9\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u66f4\u6ca1\u6709\u5bf9\u76df\u56fd\u3001\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u54c1\u5bf9\u82cf\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u68c0\u6d4b\u3002\u603b\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b7\u6218\u5916\u884c\u62df\u5b9a\u7684\u4e66\u5446\u5b50\u4e09\u6d41\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4ed6\u8981\u6c42\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u8bbe\u7acb\u51fa\u4e00\u5957\u66f4\u52a0\u9ad8\u6548\u3001\u51c6\u786e\u3001\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u65b9\u6848[ \u6ce8\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u603b\u76d1\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u76d6\u8328\uff0c\u300aFrom Shadows\u300b ]\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2dHenry S.Rowen\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e0b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u9650\u5236\u65b9\u6848\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5168\u9762\u4fee\u6539\uff1a<\/p>\n

1\u3001\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u547d\u4ee4\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\u90e8\u95e8\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u6700\u5173\u952e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u884c\u5f52\u7c7b\u6c47\u603b\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u6b64\u8fdb\u884c\u6700\u4e25\u5389\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fc7\u53bb\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u592a\u5bbd\u6cdb\u4e86\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u91cd\u70b9\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u9650\u5236\u7684\u5a01\u529b\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u9ad8\u6548\u5229\u7528\u8d44\u6e90\uff1b<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e13\u95e8\u8ddf\u8e2a\u82cf\u8054\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u8ba9\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6c47\u96c6\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u9876\u7ea7\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u6280\u672f\u7684\u4eba\u624d\uff0c\u5176\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u804c\u8d23\u5c31\u662f\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u83b7\u53d6\u897f\u65b9\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u8fdb\u884c\u8ffd\u8e2a\u548c\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u65b9\u4fbf\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5bf9\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u7684\u9ad8\u6548\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u786e\u4fdd\u80fd\u591f\u5267\u70c8\u63d0\u5347\u82cf\u8054\u5728\u83b7\u53d6\u6bcf\u9879\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u6210\u672c\u201d\uff1b<\/p>\n

3\u3001\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u63a8\u52a8\u91cc\u6839\u653f\u5e9c\u8bbe\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u5916\u4ea4\u624b\u6bb5\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u534f\u8c03\u6269\u5927\u5df4\u9ece\u7edf\u7b79\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a[ \u6ce8\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5efa\u7acb\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6280\u672f\u9650\u5236\u8054\u76df ] \u7684\u6743\u9650\uff0c\u5c06\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5982\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7b49\u5217\u5165\u9650\u5236\u8303\u56f4\u548c\u7981\u6b62\u51fa\u53e3\u6e05\u5355\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e0d\u65ad\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u8f93\u51fa\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5982\uff1a\u5965\u5730\u5229\u3001\u745e\u5178\u3001\u745e\u58eb\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u7981\u6b62\u4ed6\u4eec\u5145\u5f53\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\uff1b<\/p>\n

4\u3001\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u6388\u610f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u5efa\u7acb\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u975e\u6b63\u89c4\u6280\u672f\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u51fa\u552e\uff0c\u963b\u6ede\u7834\u574f\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u6280\u83b7\u53d6\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u53ef\u4fe1\u6027\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u82cf\u8054\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u590d\u5236\u884c\u52a8\u6765\u53cd\u5411\u7834\u574f\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6c11\u751f\uff0c\u6253\u51fb\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u7814\u8d22\u653f\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u5b89\u5168[ \u6ce8\uff1a\u91cc\u6839\u65f6\u4ee3\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957fCaspar Weinberger\u300a\u4e3a\u548c\u5e73\u800c\u6218\u300b ]<\/p>\n

\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5efa\u7acb\u8d77\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u4e13\u95e8\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u6253\u51fb\u6218\u7565\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9887\u4e3a\u9ad8\u660e\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5957\u7b56\u7565\u9700\u8981\u8270\u8f9b\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u52aa\u529b\u624d\u80fd\u771f\u6b63\u843d\u5b9e\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u5806\u79ef\u65b9\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u771f\u6b63\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u63a8\u52a8\u91cc\u6839\u653f\u5e9c\u5efa\u7acb\u53cd\u82cf\u79d1\u6280\u9650\u5236\u6218\u7565<\/b><\/p>\n

1981\u5e74\u6625\uff0c\u5728\u6cd5\u56fd\u60c5\u62a5\u673a\u6784DST\u7684\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e0b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u901a\u8fc7\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u544a\u522b\u6863\u6848\u201d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u82cf\u8054\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u83b7\u53d6\u548c\u5229\u7528\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u7edd\u5bc6\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u5927\u7ea64000\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u8be6\u7ec6\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u79d1\u6280\u5e93\u91cc\u641c\u7d22\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5982\u4f55\u901a\u8fc7\u767d\u624b\u5957\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u4ee3\u7406\u5546\u6765\u5f97\u5230\u897f\u65b9\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u548c\u7981\u8fd0\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u60c5\u62a5\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u82cf\u8054\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u6210\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u82cf\u8054\u519b\u4e8b\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6c34\u5e73\u4ece\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

[ \u6ce8\uff1a\u201c\u544a\u522b\u6863\u6848\u201d\u6307\u7684\u662f20\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u521d\u6cd5\u56fd\u4ece\u53db\u53d8\u7684KGB\u4e0a\u6821Vladimir I.Vetrov\u90a3\u91cc\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u82cf\u8054\u4ece\u897f\u65b9\u83b7\u53d6\u6280\u672f\u7684\u673a\u5bc6\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u544a\u522b\uff08Farewell\uff09\u662fVetrov\u7684\u4ee3\u53f7\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5bc6\u7279\u6717\u5728\u5f53\u9009\u540e\u4e0d\u4e45\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u62a5\u8f6c\u9012\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u5c01\u9501]<\/p>\n

1981\u5e746\u6708\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5c06\u60c5\u62a5\u7cbe\u5fc3\u7f16\u5236\u540e\uff0c\u4e0e\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u6e29\u4f2f\u683cCaspar Weinberger\u4e00\u8d77\u5c06\u5176\u9001\u8fbe\u7ed9\u767d\u5bab\u3002\u201c\u603b\u7edf\u5148\u751f\u201d\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u544a\u8bc9\u91cc\u6839\uff0c\u201c\u82cf\u8054\u5de5\u4e1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6b63\u5728\u8f7b\u677e\u83b7\u53d6\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u9700\u8981\u768450%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u628a\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u964d\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u4fc4\u56fd\u4eba\u6d3b\u5f97\u592a\u5b89\u9038\u4e86\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u56e0\u6b64\u9762\u4e34\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\uff0c\u201c\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u8fdd\u7981\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u54c1\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u597d\u76df\u53cb\u6b27\u6d32\u4eba\u4ea4\u7ed9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u201d\u3002\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u201c\u90a3\u4e9b\u770b\u4f3c\u65e0\u5bb3\u7684\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\uff0c\u5965\u5730\u5229\u3001\u745e\u5178\u548c\u745e\u58eb\u50cf\u7b5b\u5b50\u4e00\u6837\u88ab\u6211\u4eec\u6f0f\u6389\u4e86\u3002\u201d[ \u6ce8\uff1a\u91cc\u6839\u65f6\u4ee3\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957fCaspar Weinberger\u300a\u4e3a\u548c\u5e73\u800c\u6218\u300b ]\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u6253\u51fb\u82cf\u8054\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u51e0\u9879\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u8d22\u653f\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u6700\u5173\u952e\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5de5\u4e1a\u8f6c\u578b\u6240\u9700\u7684\u74f6\u9888\uff1a\u9ad8\u8d1f\u8377\u6f5c\u6c34\u6cf5\u3001\u5927\u9a6c\u529b\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u3001\u56de\u8f6c\u5f0f\u94bb\u673a\u3001\u52d8\u63a2\u6280\u672f\u8bbe\u5907\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u6b64\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u8868\u793a\u540c\u610f\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u4e0e\u5916\u4ea4\u56fd\u9632\u4eba\u5458\u534f\u8c03\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u80fd\u591f\u6253\u51fb\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u6280\u7684\u7ec4\u5408\u5de5\u5177\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f00\u59cb\u5bf9\u4ed6\u7684\u76df\u56fd\u548c\u51e0\u4e2a\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5f00\u59cb\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u91cc\u6839\u65f6\u4ee3\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957fCaspar Weinberger\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5728\u767d\u5bab\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u652f\u6301\u8005<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5207\u65ad\u76df\u56fd\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1<\/b><\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u8981\u60f3\u5b8c\u6210\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u7684\u9650\u5236\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53ea\u9760\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u5bb6\u7684\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u4ed6\u5fc5\u987b\u83b7\u5f97\u76df\u56fd\u7684\u652f\u6301\u548c\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u7684\u914d\u5408\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u6700\u8270\u96be\u7684\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u53cd\u5bf9\u2014\u2014\u539f\u56e0\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u82cf\u7f13\u548c\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ece\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u8d38\u6613\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u641e\u7838\u5bf9\u82cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d38\u6613\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u82f1\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u8d85\u8fc714%\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd9%\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd8%\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5f3a\u5316\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u51cf\u8f7b\u56fd\u5185\u95ee\u9898\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6240\u671f\u671b\u7684\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u76df\u53cb\u7684\u534f\u8c03\u53cd\u82cf\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u969c\u788d\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u6ce2\u5170\u4eb2\u82cf\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\u9547\u538b\u6ce2\u5170\u56e2\u7ed3\u5de5\u4f1a\u540e\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u62a5\u590d\uff0c1982\u5e74\u521d\u91cc\u6839\u653f\u5e9c\u8bd5\u56fe\u534f\u8c03\u6b27\u6d32\u5404\u56fd\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6280\u672f\u7ba1\u9053\u9879\u76ee\u5b9e\u884c\u6280\u672f\u7981\u8fd0\uff0c\u5374\u906d\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u76df\u56fd\u7684\u65e0\u89c6\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u603b\u7406\u65bd\u5bc6\u7279\u516c\u7136\u53cd\u5bf9\uff0c\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u6ce2\u5170\u53d1\u751f\u9a9a\u4e71\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6ce2\u5170\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u9547\u538b\u5c31\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u9519\u8bef\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u91cc\u6839\u706b\u5192\u4e09\u4e08\uff0c\u4f46\u6b27\u6d32\u5404\u56fd\u90fd\u5e0c\u671b\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u505a\u751f\u610f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u610f\u89c1\u906d\u5230\u4e86\u65e0\u89c6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0d\u65ad\u5411\u76df\u56fd\u65bd\u52a0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u57281982\u5e741\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u7684\u5df4\u9ece\u7edf\u7b79\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u548c\u5317\u7ea6\u76df\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u7684\u4e3b\u5f20\u906d\u5230\u4e86\u5fb7\u56fd\u603b\u7406\u65bd\u5bc6\u7279\u6700\u575a\u51b3\u7684\u62b5\u6297\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u4e89\u5435\uff0c\u4f46\u91cc\u6839\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u8fd8\u662f\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5df4\u9ece\u7edf\u7b79\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u5728\u5148\u8fdb\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u3001\u7535\u5b50\u90e8\u4ef6\u3001\u5149\u5bfc\u7ea4\u7ef4\u548c\u534a\u5bfc\u4f53\u53ca\u51b6\u91d1\u6280\u672f\u4e0a\u7684\u7981\u4ee4\u3002\u5728\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u7684\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u516c\u7ea6\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u6b27\u8fbe\u6210\u79d8\u5bc6\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u9879\u76ee\u6280\u672f\u7981\u4ee4\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5047\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u57fa\u4e8e\u7981\u4ee4\u800c\u4e00\u65e6\u9000\u51fa\u5176\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6b27\u6d32\u4f01\u4e1a\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u63a5\u624b\u3002<\/p>\n

1982\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5fb7\u56fd\u603b\u7406\u65bd\u5bc6\u7279\u4e0b\u91ce\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u603b\u7406\u79d1\u5c14\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u552f\u547d\u662f\u4ece\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u5f97\u4ee5\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5c01\u9501\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u7684\u6f2b\u957f\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8212\u5c14\u8328\u7684\u8270\u96be\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u6b27\u6d32\u7ec8\u4e8e\u57281982\u5e7411\u670812\u65e5\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u8054\u5408\u79d1\u6280\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6218\u7565\u534f\u8c03\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

11\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u7f57\u7eb3\u5fb7\u91cc\u6839\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\uff0c\u201c\u5ba3\u5e03\u897f\u65b9\u5c06\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u5949\u884c\u5b89\u5168\u7b2c\u4e00\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6280\u672f\u6218\u7565\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ee3\u8868\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\u88ab\u57fa\u672c\u5207\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u662d\u793a\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u76df\u53cb\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u7981\u4ee4\u7684\u5f3a\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5173\u4e8e\u52a0\u5f3a\u76df\u53cb\u6280\u672f\u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u6218\u7565\u7684\u6210\u529f\u3002<\/p>\n

[ \u6ce8\uff1a1982\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u6b27\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u7981\u8fd0\u8c08\u5224\u7684\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0b\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u653f\u5e9c\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e13\u95e8\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684NSDD-66\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u6587\u4ef6\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u70b9\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\uff1a<\/p>\n

1\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u6b27\u6d32\u76df\u56fd\u8d5e\u540c\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4ee5\u4f18\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5229\u7387\u5411\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d37\u6b3e\uff1b<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u5141\u8bb8\u82cf\u8054\u5229\u7528\u897f\u65b9\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u5f3a\u5316\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u5b9e\u529b\uff1b<\/p>\n

3\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u4e0d\u65ad\u51cf\u5c11\u76df\u56fd\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u80fd\u6e90\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u4f9d\u8d56\uff1b\u300b<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\u7f57\u7eb3\u5fb7\u91cc\u6839\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u63a8\u884c\u53cd\u82cf\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6700\u5927\u963b\u529b\u2014\u2014\u575a\u5b9a\u5949\u884c\u7f13\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u897f\u5fb7\u603b\u7406\u65bd\u5bc6\u7279\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u51e0\u4e4e\u62b5\u5236\u4e86\u91cc\u6839\u6bcf\u4e00\u9879\u4e25\u5389\u7684\u5bf9\u82cf\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u65bd\u5bc6\u7279\u4e0b\u53f0\u540e\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u5185\u90e8\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u6700\u5927\u62b5\u5236\u4e5f\u5c31\u6b64\u6d88\u5931\u4e86<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5207\u65ad\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1<\/b><\/p>\n

\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u897f\u65b9\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4ea4\u6d41\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u8ba9\u4ed6\u5934\u75db\u7684\uff0c\u83ab\u8fc7\u4e8e\u745e\u5178\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u90bb\u56fd\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5927\u4e3e\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u8f6c\u552e\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u83b7\u53d6\u5de8\u989d\u5229\u6da6\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5207\u65ad\u4ece\u8bf8\u5982\u745e\u5178\u8fd9\u6837\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\uff0c\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u6765\u8bf4\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u548c\u4ed6\u7684\u76df\u53cb\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u957f\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4ed8\u745e\u5178\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u624b\u6bb5\u5c31\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4f18\u52bf\u548c1979\u5e74\u7528\u4e8e\u9650\u5236\u5916\u56fd\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6280\u672f\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u300a\u51fa\u53e3\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u6cd5\u300b[ \u6ce8\uff1a1979\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u6cd5\u5f8b\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u6709\u6743\u529b\u7ea6\u675f\u5916\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6280\u672f\u51fa\u53e3\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u6743 ] \u3002<\/p>\n

1983\u5e74\uff0c\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\u8bbf\u95ee\u745e\u5178\uff0c\u4ed6\u5411\u745e\u5178\u653f\u5e9c\u63d0\u51fa\u6700\u540e\u901a\u7252\u548c\u8bf1\u60d1\uff0c\u4ed6\u58f0\u79f0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u745e\u5178\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee7\u7eed\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0d\u53d7\u9650\u5236\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8d38\u6613\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5c06\u6536\u7d27\u5bf9\u745e\u5178\u8fd9\u6837\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u654f\u611f\u6280\u672f\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u6253\u51fb\u745e\u5178\u4f01\u4e1a\u8bf8\u5982\u7231\u7acb\u4fe1\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u745e\u5178\u914d\u5408\u7f8e\u56fd\u9650\u5236\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u53e3\u4e70\u5356\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u653e\u5bbd\u5bf9\u745e\u5178\u6280\u672f\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u5c06\u745e\u5178\u4f01\u4e1a\u5f53\u505a\u7f8e\u56fd\u76df\u53cb\u4f01\u4e1a\u770b\u5f85\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5411\u745e\u5178\u51fa\u552e\u7528\u4e8e\u9e70\u72ee\u6218\u673a\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u55b7\u6c14\u5f0f\u53d1\u52a8\u673a\u56fe\u7eb8\u548c\u970d\u5c3c\u97e6\u5c14\u516c\u53f8\u7b49\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u5b87\u822a\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u80c1\u8feb\u548c\u8bf1\u60d1\u4e0b\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u575a\u5b9a\u7684\u745e\u5178\u4eba\u88ab\u8feb\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u5230\u4e86\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5230\u8bbf\u745e\u5178\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u653f\u5e9c\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u5c40\u957f\u4fdd\u8bc1\u5c06\u652f\u6301\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u9650\u5236\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u53e3\u8d38\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u3001\u5965\u5730\u5229\u7b49\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u90fd\u662f\u88ab\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u8fd9\u6837\u8bf4\u670d\u7684\u3002\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\u4e5f\u88ab\u5207\u65ad\u4e86\u3002
\n\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6d41\u5165\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6025\u5267\u53d8\u5c11\uff0c1975\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d41\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e2d\uff0c\u9ad8\u79d1\u6280\u4ea7\u54c1\u5360\u5230\u4e8632.7%\uff0c\u5230\u4e861983\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u4e865.4%\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u83b7\u53d6\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8f93\u6db2\u7ba1\u57fa\u672c\u88ab\u5207\u65ad\u4e86\uff0c\u5979\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u8bbe\u6cd5\u81ea\u5df1\u652f\u4ed8\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u4ee3\u4ef7\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8270\u96be\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u7a81\u7834\u3002[ \u6ce8\uff1aPeter Schweizer\u300a Victory: The Reagan Administration’s Secret Strategy that Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union\u300b<\/p>\n

\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3001\u52aa\u529b\u548c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6b3a\u8bc8<\/b><\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7cbe\u5fc3\u7f16\u5236\u7684\u5e9e\u5927\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u5c01\u9501\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u8ba9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u635f\u5931\u60e8\u91cd\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u80fd\u6e90\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u8f6c\u578b\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u6613\u91c7\u6cb9\u7530\u7684\u67af\u7aed\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u8feb\u5207\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u591f\u5f15\u5165\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u548c\u8d44\u672c\u5f00\u91c7\u90a3\u4e9b\u5177\u6709\u96be\u5ea6\u7684\u6cb9\u7530\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5bf9\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6d41\u5165\u9650\u5236\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u6253\u51fb\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

1982\u5e743\u6708\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6280\u672f\u9650\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u8054\u5408\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u8428\u54c8\u6797\u5c9b\uff08\u5e93\u9875\u5c9b\uff09\u77f3\u6cb9\u9879\u76ee\u88ab\u8feb\u4e2d\u6b62\uff0c\u539f\u672c\u65e5\u672c\u63d0\u4f9b\u6280\u672f\u3001\u8d44\u91d1\u548c\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u4ee5\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u505a\u62c5\u4fdd\uff0c\u4f46\u6280\u672f\u7981\u8fd0\u4f7f\u5f97\u5f00\u53d1\u96be\u4ee5\u4e3a\u7ee7\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9884\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5e74\u83b7\u76ca40\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u4e0d\u4ec5\u672a\u80fd\u83b7\u5229\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u635f\u593120\u591a\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5b9d\u8d35\u786c\u901a\u8d27\uff0c\u8d22\u653f\u906d\u53d7\u5f88\u5927\u635f\u5931\uff081980\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

1982\u5e744\u6708\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u4e0b\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u5bc4\u4e88\u5de8\u5927\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u4e4c\u8fde\u6208\u4f0a\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7ba1\u9053\u9879\u76ee\u4e5f\u88ab\u8feb\u6682\u505c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u539f\u672c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u6280\u672f\u3001\u8bbe\u5907\u548c\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u5ec9\u4ef7\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff0c\u79d1\u7814\u4f7f\u5f97\u82cf\u8054\u83b7\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5916\u6c47\u6536\u5165\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5f88\u5feb\u8ddf\u8e2a\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e25\u5389\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u5f88\u5feb\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u540e\u6765\u88ab\u8feb\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\u5e76\u6781\u529b\u4e89\u53d6\u5230\u90e8\u5206\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u652f\u6301\u800c\u4fa5\u5e78\u90e8\u5206\u5b8c\u5de5\uff0c\u4f46\u4fc4\u56fd\u4eba\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u4e2d\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u635f\u5931\u975e\u5e38\u4e25\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u62ef\u6551\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4ea7\u4e1a\u547d\u8109\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u8bd5\u56fe\u96c6\u5168\u56fd\u4e4b\u529b\u7a81\u7834\u4e4c\u8fde\u6208\u4f0a\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9879\u76ee\u6240\u9700\u7684\u6280\u672f\u74f6\u9888\uff0c\u514b\u91cc\u59c6\u6797\u5bab\u51b3\u5fc3\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u6280\u672f\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\u5b8c\u6210\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7ba1\u9053\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5efa\u8bbe\uff0c\u4e0d\u4e45\u8fd9\u9879\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5ba3\u4f20\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u8574\u542b\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6c11\u65cf\u81ea\u5c0a\u5fc3\u7684\u4f7f\u547d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u60c5\u62a5\u4e13\u5bb6\u7f57\u6770\u9c81\u6ee8\u900a\u5f53\u65f6\u6b63\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u8fdb\u884c\u8ddf\u8e2a\uff0c\u4ed6\u56de\u5fc6\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u5b8c\u6210\uff0c\u88ab\u82cf\u8054\u89c6\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u2018\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\u8ba1\u5212\u2019\u822c\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u610f\u4e49\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bfb\u627e\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bbe\u5907\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u82b1\u8d39\u4e86\u5de8\u989d\u5916\u6c47\u50a8\u5907\u548c\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u91d1\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u52aa\u529b\u6700\u7ec8\u9047\u5230\u4e86\u592a\u591a\u7684\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u4eba\u5458\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u806a\u660e\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u542c\u5230\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u51b3\u5fc3\u4e0d\u60dc\u4e00\u5207\u4ee3\u4ef7\u5b8c\u6210\u4e4c\u8fde\u6208\u4f0a\u9879\u76ee\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5c31\u662f\u8ba9\u53ef\u601c\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u635f\u5931\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u5916\u6c47\u786c\u901a\u8d27\uff0c\u201d\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u5404\u4e2a\u673a\u6784\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u50cf\u5728\u4e8c\u6218\u65f6\u671f\u505a\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u7ede\u5c3d\u8111\u6c41\u62ff\u51fa\u5404\u79cd\u529e\u6cd5\u8bbe\u6cd5\u6076\u5316\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u96c6\u4e2d\u7cbe\u529b\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u8ba9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u900f\u652f\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6280\u672f\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u5e2e\u52a9\u4e0b\u8bbe\u6cd5\u8bf1\u4f7f\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u8d70\u5f2f\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7531\u4e8e\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u4e00\u5411\u4e25\u91cd\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u6a21\u4eff\u897f\u65b9\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u81ea\u5df1\u5236\u9020\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e43\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u5236\u5b9a\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u63d0\u4f9b\u5047\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u4fc3\u4f7f\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u906d\u53d7\u66f4\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002[ \u6ce8\uff1aPeter Schweizer\u300a Victory: The Reagan Administration’s Secret Strategy that Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union\u300b ]<\/p>\n

\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u4e3b\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u5f00\u59cb\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u6e20\u9053\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u60c5\u62a5\u4eba\u5458\u548c\u6280\u672f\u4eba\u5458\uff0c\u534f\u540c\u53d1\u8868\u5404\u79cd\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5584\u3001\u5bb9\u6613\u5f15\u8d77\u8bef\u89e3\u7684\u6280\u672f\u4e66\u7c4d\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u5728\u6d77\u5916\u5f00\u8bbe\u865a\u62df\u516c\u53f8\uff0c\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u5b98\u5458\u9ad8\u4ef7\u51fa\u552e\u88ab\u5de7\u5999\u6b6a\u66f2\u7684\u9519\u8bef\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u90fd\u662f\u82cf\u8054\u6700\u8feb\u5207\u9700\u8981\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u8bf8\u5982\u71c3\u6c14\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u7684\u8bbe\u8ba1\u56fe\u7eb8\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u52d8\u63a2\u6280\u672f\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u82af\u7247\u7b49\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u5047\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u505a\u5f97\u60df\u5999\u60df\u8096\uff0c\u534a\u771f\u534a\u5047\uff0c\u8db3\u4ee5\u8bf1\u60d1\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u4eba\u5458\u4e0a\u5f53\u3002\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u62d6\u5ef6\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u4ee3\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n

1\u3001\u82cf\u8054\u9102\u6728\u65af\u514b\u4e00\u5bb6\u5316\u5de5\u5382\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u7684\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u8be5\u5de5\u5382\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u6280\u672f\u4eba\u5458\u9677\u5165\u8ff7\u5bab\uff0c\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\u82cf\u8054\u7814\u53d1\u673a\u6784\u5728\u82b1\u8d39\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u624d\u7406\u89e3\u8fd9\u662f\u7f8e\u65b9\u60c5\u62a5\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u6076\u610f\u8bef\u5bfc\uff1b<\/p>\n

2\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u5927\u578b\u62d6\u62c9\u673a\u5236\u9020\u5382\u8bd5\u56fe\u7528\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u56fe\u7eb8\u5236\u9020\u53ca\u5176\uff0c\u5de5\u5382\u4ee5\u4e00\u534a\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5c1d\u8bd516\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u653e\u5f03\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff1b<\/p>\n

3\u30011984\u5e74\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u65b9\u9762\u4ece\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u624b\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u4ed6\u4eec\u671d\u601d\u66ae\u60f3\u4f46\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u71c3\u6c14\u6da1\u8f6e\u673a\u8bbe\u8ba1\u56fe\u7eb8\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u8ba1\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u5de8\u5927\u4eba\u9020\u7f3a\u9677\u7684\uff0c\u5f53\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u6309\u7167\u56fe\u7eb8\u5b8c\u6210\u90e8\u4ef6\u65f6\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u6545\u969c\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u7684\u7ba1\u9053\u9879\u76ee\u88ab\u8feb\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdf\u4e86\uff1b<\/p>\n

4\u3001\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u901a\u8fc7\u4e2d\u95f4\u4eba\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u51fa\u552e\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u6545\u610f\u635f\u574f\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u82af\u7247\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u82cf\u8054\u597d\u51e0\u5bb6\u76f8\u5173\u519b\u7528\u3001\u6c11\u7528\u5de5\u5382\u8bbe\u5907\u762b\u75ea\u6570\u4e2a\u6708\u65f6\u95f4\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u6700\u9634\u9669\u7684\u6218\u672f\uff0c\u4e43\u662f\u4e2d\u60c5\u5c40\u901a\u8fc7\u4e00\u5bb6\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4f9b\u5e94\u5546\uff0c\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u51fa\u552e\u5e26\u6709\u7f3a\u9677\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u4ea7\u54c1\u88ab\u82cf\u8054\u7528\u5728\u4e86\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u6cb9\u6c14\u7ba1\u4e0a\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u5f531982\u5e746\u6708\u8fd9\u9879\u7ba1\u9053\u6295\u5165\u4f7f\u7528\u540e\uff0c\u201c\u8f6f\u4ef6\u88ab\u91cd\u65b0\u8bbe\u8ba1\u80fd\u591f\u91cd\u8bbe\u6cf5\u901f\u548c\u9600\u95e8\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u8d85\u51fa\u8f93\u6cb9\u7ba1\u8fde\u63a5\u548c\u710a\u63a5\u90e8\u5206\u80fd\u591f\u5bb9\u5fcd\u7684\u538b\u5f3a\u201d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u975e\u6838\u4eba\u5de5\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u4ece\u592a\u7a7a\u4e2d\u90fd\u80fd\u591f\u770b\u5230\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540e\u6765\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u540c\u50da\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458Thomas Reed\u5f97\u610f\u6d0b\u6d0b\u7684\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u8fdf\u6ede\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u7684\u91cd\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u201c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u8d56\u4ee5\u590d\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u6280\u672f\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u79d1\u7814\u5de8\u517d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ec6\u80de\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\uff0c\u201dThomas Reed\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u201c\u4fc4\u56fd\u4eba\u65e0\u6cd5\u77e5\u9053\u90a3\u4e9b\u83b7\u53d6\u7684\u6280\u672f\u548c\u8bbe\u5907\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u662f\u5065\u5168\u7684\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u662f\u5047\u7684\u3002\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u4ee4\u4eba\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u6574\u4e2a\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u7ed3\u5c40\u3002\u201d\u201d[ \u6ce8\uff1aThomas Reed, senior US national security official, claims in his book \u300aAt The Abyss\u300b ]<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

1982\u5e746\u6708\u7684\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u8f93\u6cb9\u7ba1\u5927\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u635f\u5931\u6781\u4e3a\u60e8\u91cd\uff0c\u4e43\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684CIA\u7b56\u5212<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

[ \u6ce8\uff1a \u5173\u4e8e\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u6b3a\u8bc8\u6218\u548c\u82cf\u8054\u4eba1982\u5e746\u6708\u7684\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u6cb9\u6c14\u7ba1\u9053\u7206\u70b8\uff0c\u91cc\u6839\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u6210\u5458Thomas Reed\u5728\u4ed6\u88ab\u5e03\u4ec0\u603b\u7edf\u505a\u5e8f\u7684\u51b7\u6218\u56de\u5fc6\u5f55\u300aAt The Abyss\u300b\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201cIn order to disrupt the Soviet gas supply, its hard currency earnings from the West, and the internal Russian economy, the pipeline software that was to run the pumps, turbines, and valves was programmed to go haywire, after a decent interval, to reset pump speeds and valve settings to produce pressures far beyond those acceptable to pipeline joints and welds,\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cBy implication, every cell of the Soviet leviathan might be infected,\u201d Reed writes. \u201cThey had no way of knowing which equipment was sound, which was bogus. All was suspect, which was the intended endgame for the entire operation.\u201d ]<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u542f\u53d1\u548c\u9f13\u52b1\u4e0b\uff0c\u6e29\u4f2f\u683c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u4e5f\u5982\u6cd5\u70ae\u5236\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u51fa\u552e\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u5982\u9690\u5f62\u6218\u673a\u3001\u5148\u8fdb\u6218\u672f\u98de\u673a\u7b49\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u8ba9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u635f\u5931\u60e8\u91cd\u3002<\/p>\n

1984\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u6536\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u5185\u90e8\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4ed6\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u8ba9\u82cf\u8054\u5728\u79d1\u7814\u52aa\u529b\u4e2d\u627f\u53d7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u548c\u9ebb\u70e6\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u5907\u5fd8\u5f55\u8fd8\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u865a\u5047\u6280\u672f\u60c5\u62a5\u7684\u8f93\u5165\u4f7f\u5f97\u82cf\u8054\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u624b\u6bb5\u83b7\u53d6\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u5e9e\u5927\u8ba1\u5212\u5944\u5944\u4e00\u606f\u3001\u96be\u4ee5\u4e3a\u7ee7\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\uff0c\u201c\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u65e0\u6cd5\u533a\u5206\u771f\u5047\u6570\u636e\u548c\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u624b\u6bb5\u83b7\u53d6\u3001\u5438\u6536\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u897f\u65b9\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u88ab\u8feb\u653e\u7f13\u4e86\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u81f3\u6b64\uff0c\u6bd4\u5c14\u51ef\u897f\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u4e0d\u4ec5\u8ba9\u82cf\u8054\u4eba\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u4ee3\u4ef7\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e25\u91cd\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u8d22\u653f\u7684\u6c72\u53d6\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u66f4\u52a0\u901f\u4e86\u82cf\u8054\u8d22\u653f\u6210\u672c\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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